The State of the Mid-Majors

The State of the Mid-Majors, Week 10

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The State of College Basketball is a brand-new ratings system that uses a lot of good basketball sense, per-game team performance ratings and degradation of older results to rank the teams from No. 1 to 341 (here's the long-winded version). In its overall form, it retroactively picked three of the Final Four in a simulation of last season. For our purposes here, it gives the world's only hype-free, non-voting, computer poll of teams in the lower 21 conferences. This is the full 245-team chart (updated hourly), and this is a recording.

As of 1/22/2008, 1 p.m. ET
Legend: Rank. Team (Conference), Rating, Record (Conf. Record) [Last week]

1. Drake (Missouri Valley), 101.42, 16-1 (7-0) [1]

The Knapp Center hasn't really been a house of horrors for opponents in recent years -- Drake's had three losing season records in home games over the past decade. But they're a perfect 10-0 there, prompting opponents to ask, "is this hell?" Nope, Iowa. Drake takes to the road before a nice two-game Valley homestand. Should the Bulldogs' 15-game win streak (third longest in the nation) survive tonight against No. 5 Creighton, they will have matched their victory total from last year, and it's not even February yet.

The State of the Mid-Majors, Week 9

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The State of College Basketball is a brand-new ratings system that uses a lot of good basketball sense, per-game team performance ratings and degradation of older results to rank the teams from No. 1 to 341 (here's the long-winded version). In its overall form, it retroactively picked three of the Final Four in a simulation of last season. For our purposes here, it gives the world's only hype-free, non-voting, computer poll of teams in the lower 21 conferences. This is the full 245-team chart (updated hourly), and this is a recording.

As of 1/16/2008, 11 a.m. ET
Legend: Rank. Team (Conference), Rating, Record (Conf. Record) [Last week]

1. Drake (Missouri Valley), 100.37, 14-1 (5-0) [2]

If it sounds like a duck and runs like a dog, it must be Drake! The Bulldogs assume the top spot in our index this week, and they showed their depth and poise by beating Missouri State without leading scorer Josh Young, who's out with an ankle injury. Though the team's won 13 straight games, the road to the school's first Valley title since 1971 doesn't get any easier: tough game at Bradley tonight, followed by a Saturday date at home versus...

The State of the Mid-Majors, Week 8

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The State of College Basketball is a brand-new ratings system that uses a lot of good basketball sense, per-game team performance ratings and degradation of older results to rank the teams from No. 1 to 341 (here's the long-winded version). In its overall form, it retroactively picked three of the Final Four in a simulation of last season. For our purposes here, it gives the world's only hype-free, non-voting, computer poll of teams in the lower 21 conferences. This is a recording.

As of 1/8/2008, 1 p.m. ET

Legend: Rank. Team Rating (Conference), Rating, Record (Conf. Record) [Last week]

1. Sam Houston State (Southland), 100.44, 12-1 (0-0) [1]

I have not actually seen this team with my own eyes (something we'll fix on Jan. 24), but we're starting to get reports from people who have. Two coaches who have played the Bearkats tell me that it was the toughest game of the year, and the team's only loss remains that one-point OT drop to San Diego State. Last week, they beat former mid-major and current money-conference participant UCF at home in OT. Now the Southland season begins (Wednesday against Southeastern Louisiana), and we'll see what happens. Either way, probably a drop in this index, since SHSU won't play another team in the State's overall top 100 until that JAn. 24 game with Stephen F. Austin.

The State of the Mid-Majors, Week 7

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The State of College Basketball is a brand-new ratings system that uses a lot of good basketball sense, per-game team performance ratings and degradation of older results to rank the teams from No. 1 to 341 (here's the long-winded version). In its overall form, it retroactively picked three of the Final Four in a simulation of last season. For our purposes here, it gives the world's only hype-free, non-voting, computer poll of teams in the lower 21 conferences. This is a recording.

As of 1/2/2008, 1 p.m. ET
Legend: Rank. Team Rating (Conference), Rating, Record (Conf. Record) [Last week]

1. Sam Houston State (Southland), 100.43, 11-1 (0-0) [1]

Instead of defending our methodology and pointing out 1-1 California road trips that contain an overtime loss to a Mountain West team, instead of pointing out that you're looking at a list of well-rounded teams that are potential NCAA first-round victory candidates, instead of pointing out that teams not on this list generally have a fatal flaw (or two), we're going to go down the list this week and put the spotlight on each Top 10 team's star player.

A big reason for the Bearkats' emergence as a national mid-major threat is the breakout season by a 6-1 senior named Shamir McDaniel. The San Antonio native was an unlikely candidate for breakout anything with deep role-player status for his entire career, but he's more than doubled his output with 13.7 ppg, and is shooting 15 percentage points better than last year (47.6 percent). Nine double-figure scoring games so far this season for a guy who only had 10 in his first three years combined. Not bad.

The State of the Mid-Majors, Week 6

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The State of College Basketball is a brand-new ratings system that uses a lot of good basketball sense, per-game team performance ratings and degradation of older results to rank the teams from No. 1 to 341 (here's the long-winded version). In its overall form, it retroactively picked three of the Final Four in a simulation of last season. For our purposes here, it gives the world's only hype-free, non-voting, computer poll of teams in the lower 21 conferences. This is a recording.

As of 12/27/2007, 1 p.m. ET
Legend: Rank. Team Rating (Conference), Rating, Record (Conf. Record) [Last week]

1. Sam Houston State (Southland), 105.42, 10-0 (0-0) [1]

I spent a good deal of time in my ESPN chat yesterday sifting through questions in regards to whether this index was broken or not. The formula may rely a bit too much on the RPI (13 percent), but I 'm a fan of its performance so far. It's identified stories I wouldn't have picked up on if I were relying only on the standings for guidance, and teams that rate high here have gone on to have some pretty big upset wins. The teams that are hanging around are generally balanced, solid squads that could have very real chances to win NCAA Tournament games in March.

The State of the Mid-Majors, Week 5

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The State of College Basketball is a brand-new ratings system that uses a lot of good basketball sense, per-game team performance ratings and degradation of older results to rank the teams from No. 1 to 341 (here's the long-winded version). In its overall form, it retroactively picked three of the Final Four in a simulation of last season. For our purposes here, it gives the world's only hype-free, non-voting, computer poll of teams in the lower 21 conferences. This is a recording.

As of 12/18/2007, 1 p.m. ET
Legend: Rank. Team Rating (Conference), Rating, Record (Conf. Record) [Last week]

1. Sam Houston State (Southland), 106.78, 9-0 (0-0) [1]

The Bearkats are No. 1 for the second straight week because they're a.) undefeated and b.) good. I know nobody's keeping track of the actual index numbers, but Sam State's rating slipped four points, mostly because of an efficient but too-close 54-51 win over Texas Southern, but no other team distinguished themselves enough during Finals Week to overtake them in this index.

The State of the Mid-Majors, Week 4

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The State of College Basketball is a brand-new ratings system that uses a lot of good basketball sense, per-game team performance ratings and degradation of older results to rank the teams from No. 1 to 341 (here's the long-winded version). In its overall form, it retroactively picked three of the Final Four in a simulation of last season. For our purposes here, it gives the world's only hype-free, non-voting, computer poll of teams in the lower 21 conferences. This is a recording.

As of 12/11/2007, 2 p.m. ET
Legend: Rank. Team Rating (Conference), Rating, Record (Conf. Record) [Last week]

1. Sam Houston State (Southland), 110.85, 8-0 (0-0) [2]

The Bearkats take the top spot this week because the computer loves great road performances, and dayum was that a great one on Saturday afternoon at Saint Louis. Sure, the Billikens are having a sort-out year to begin the Majerus era, but they've won six games to date and shouldn't be held to just 29 percent shooting on its home floor. And, ooooh, look! Hype!

The State of the Mid-Majors, Week 3

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The State of College Basketball is a brand-new ratings system that uses a lot of good basketball sense, per-game team performance ratings and degradation of older results to rank the teams from No. 1 to 341 (here's the long-winded version). In its overall form, it retroactively picked three of the Final Four last season. For our purposes here, it gives the world's only hype-free, non-voting, computer poll of teams in the lower 21 conferences. This is a recording.

As of 12/4/2007, 2 p.m. ET
Legend: Rank. Team Rating (Conference), Record (Conf. Record) [Last week]

1. Butler (Horizon), 109.85 7-0 (0-0) [3]

Yup, the Bulldogs are the best we have, and the numbers match the hype -- even though the overall index has been rightly short-selling Ohio State, Butler's expensive dinner on Saturday night. That kept the team's per-game performance ratings down a bit for this one, and the computer didn't like the fact they only shot 41 percent and scored a thoroughly average 1.03 points per possession. Room for improvement? Really!

The State of the Mid-Majors, Week 2: 11/27/2007

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I know, I know, I promised to do this last week. I didn't. I'm doing it now. Welcome to the first edition of The State of the Mid-Majors, a weekly look at the best and hottest mids in convenient top-ten form. There is no Week 1.

The State of College Basketball is a brand-new ratings system that uses a lot of good basketball sense, per-game team performance ratings and degradation of older results to rank the teams from No. 1 to 341 (here's the long-winded version). In its overall form, it retroactively picked three of the Final Four last season. For our purposes here, it gives the world's only hype-free, non-voting, computer poll of teams in the lower 21 conferences. It's updated every hour on the hour over at Basketball State, but we'll be looking at a snapshot of the ratings every Tuesday in this space over the course of the season. SID's, get your linkers fired up!

(In case you've been living under a rock, or have just been looking at one of the Internet's 56 million other web pages, Basketball State is The Mid-Majority's sister site. Its beautiful, luscious, smart, basketball-loving red-headed sister, who demands you buy her a $25 dinner before you can come up to her apartment.)


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