Out in the Horizon League things look like this at the moment: Green Bay and a battle royale for second place. That leads to a good game on Tuesday night as Milwaukee and Wright State battle for that spot right behind the Phoenix. Even though GB has beaten both of these teams already, every place is important at the HL has campus sites for its conference tournament, and with the conference season not even half over it's no lock that Green Bay holds on.
Milwaukee is an interesting case study on efficient offenses. The Panthers shoot the ball at a decent clip (46% overall, 50.6% effective FG%), but sag near the bottom of the conference in points per possession thanks to way too many turnovers (18.5% of possessions). The shooting has been ever so streaky in conference play. In wins they have notched 1.128, 1.068 and 1.032 points per possession. In losses those numbers drop to .746, 1.115 (a high-scoring loss to the aforementioned Green Bay) and .839. Sometimes all the numbers and data point to the simplest of conclusions: When the Panthers shoot well their odds of winning go way up.
In conference play the Panthers have pushed the pace the most in the Horizon (70.7 possessions per 40 minutes) while Wright State has bogged it down (63.7) including a 49-46 win over Cleveland State on Sunday in 59 possessions . That works in the Raiders favor as their defense is tops in the conference and in the top 50 in the nation thanks in large part to a turnover ratio that is the best in the country this side of VCU. The turnovers giveth and they taketh away however as the 14.5 turnovers a game the Raiders give up is right there with the Panthers near the bottom of the conference and negates a pretty good inside shooting team.
The G!O!T!N! has been on a pretty decent roll of picking good games and this one has all the makings of an old-fashioned peach basket slug fest.
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